Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Nuclear Power Plant Containment

WANG Xiaolei; LYU Dagang; YAN Weidong

doi:10.7538/yzk.2020.youxian.0558

Atomic Energy Science and Technology > 2020 > 54(12): 2397-2403. > DOI: 10.7538/yzk.2020.youxian.0558

WANG Xiaolei, LYU Dagang, YAN Weidong. Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Nuclear Power Plant Containment[J]. Atomic Energy Science and Technology, 2020, 54(12): 2397-2403. DOI: 10.7538/yzk.2020.youxian.0558

Citation:

PDF (1436 KB)

Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Nuclear Power Plant Containment

School of Civil Engineering, Shenyang Jianzhu University, Shenyang 110168, China
School of Civil Engineering, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150090, China

More Information

Graphical Abstract

Abstract

Abstract

Seismic probabilistic risk assessment could be respectively conducted using analytical function of seismic risk and risk convolution function. In this paper, analytical function of seismic risk was conducted, two basic assumptions and two approximations of analytical function of seismic risk were analyzed, and seismic probabilistic risk analysis of a nuclear power plant containment of our country were respectively conducted using analytical function of seismic risk and risk convolution function. The results show that there is no influence on seismic risk results using a power exponent function approximating seismic hazard distribution following extreme value Ⅱ type distribution. For the case of this paper, seismic risk of a nuclear power plant containment is overestimated based on analytical function of seismic risk, which uses constant KH and kⅠ. Seismic risk of a containment is low in our country, which has a large safety margin. It is proposed that the preliminary seismic risk assessment of a nuclear power plant containment of our country using analytical function of seismic risk should be conducted.
- analytical function of seismic risk,
- seismic hazard,
- seismic fragility,
- convolution,
- containment

FullText(HTML)

References (13)

References

[1]	王晓磊，吕大刚. 核电厂抗震裕量评估方法研究综述[J]. 中国安全科学学报，2015，25(12)：116-122.WANG Xiaolei, LYU Dagang. Research review of seismic margin assessment methods for nuclear power plants[J]. China Safety Science Journal, 2015, 25(12): 116-122(in Chinese).
[2]	王晓磊，吕大刚. 核电厂地震概率地震风险评估研究综述[J]. 土木工程学报，2016，49(11)：52-68.WANG Xiaolei, LYU Dagang. Review of seismic probability risk assessment of nuclear power plants[J]. China Civil Engineering Journal, 2016, 49(11): 52-68(in Chinese).
[3]	ASCE. ASCE/SEI 43-05Seismic design criteria for structures, systems, and components in nuclear facilities[S]. US: American Society of Civil Engineering, 2005.
[4]	KENNEDY R P. Performance-goal based (risk informed) approach for establishing the SSE site specific response spectrum for future nuclear power plants[J]. Nuclear Engineering and Design, 2011, 241: 648-656.
[5]	BRAVERMAN J I, XU J, ELLINGWOOD B R, et al. Evaluation of the seismic design criteria in ASCE/SEI standard 43-05 for application to nuclear power plants, NUREG/CR-6926, BNL-NUREG-77569-2007[R]. US: Nuclear Regulatory Commission, 2007.
[6]	王晓磊，吕大刚. 考虑知识不确定性的核电厂地震易损性概率模型研究[J]. 原子能科学技术，2017，51(1)：139-144.WANG Xiaolei, LYU Dagang. Study on seismic fragility probability model of nuclear power plant considering epistemic uncertainty[J]. Atomic Energy Science and Technology, 2017, 51(1): 139-144(in Chinese).
[7]	WANG Xiaolei, LU Dagang. MCS-based PSHA procedure and generation of site-specific design spectra for the seismicity characteristics of China[J]. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 2018, 108(5A): 2408-2421.
[8]	KENNEDY R P, RAVINDRA M K. Seismic fragilities for nuclear power plant risk studies[J]. Nuclear Engineering and Design, 1984, 79(1): 47-68.
[9]	王晓磊，吕大刚. 核电站地震易损性分析方法的研究进展[J]. 地震工程与工程振动，2014，34（增刊）：409-415.WANG Xiaolei, LYU Dagang. Methodologies for seismic fragility analysis of nuclear power plants: State-of-the-art[J]. Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Dynamics, 2014, 34(Suppl.): 409-415(in Chinese).
[10]	PARK Y J, HOFMAYER C H. Technical guidelines for a seismic design of nuclear power plants translation of JEAG 4601-1987[R]. US: Nuclear Regulatory Commission, 1994.
[11]	李忠诚. 考虑土-结构相互作用效应的核电厂地震响应分析[D]. 天津：天津大学，2006.
[12]	KENNEDY R P, RAVINDRA M K. Seismic fragilities for nuclear power plant risk studies[J]. Nuclear Engineering and Design, 1984, 79(1): 47-68.
[13]	PISHARADY A S, BASU P C. Methods to derive seismic fragility of NPP components: A summary[J]. Nuclear Engineering and Design, 2010, 240(11): 3878-3887.

Cited By

Cited by

Periodical cited type(4)

1.	田澳楠，郑志，潘晓兰，苏春阳，王勇. 基于贝叶斯估计的核电厂安全壳内压概率安全评估. 原子能科学技术. 2024(04): 836-847 . 本站查看
2.	刘林顶，张博韬，苗鑫. 核电厂抗震安全评估方法研究综述. 中国战略新兴产业. 2024(17): 175-178 .
3.	秦苗珺，赵衍刚，卢朝辉. 核电厂考虑结构参数不确定的地震易损性分析. 地震工程学报. 2023(05): 1241-1250 .
4.	王晓磊，阎卫东，吕大刚，马健. 基于一致风险谱的某核电安全壳地震风险分析. 沈阳建筑大学学报(自然科学版). 2023(06): 1009-1015 .

Other cited types(4)

Get Citation

PDF

XML

Article views (243) PDF downloads (1059) Cited by(8)

Turn off MathJax

Article Contents

Abstract

References

Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Nuclear Power Plant Containment

Abstract

References

Cited by

Periodical cited type(4)

Other cited types(4)

Catalog

Export File

Citation

Format

Content