人因可靠性分析技术的研究进展与发展趋势
Research Review and Development Trends of Human Reliability Analysis Techniques
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摘要: 本文对人因可靠性分析方法进行综述。分别对人因可靠性分析的理论基础——人因失误机理、人因可靠性分析方法的关键要素以及现有的人因可靠性分析方法的研究现状进行了介绍和评析,指出了这些研究方法的不足,以及目前研究的热点和难点问题。总结并展望了人因可靠性分析方法的发展趋势。Abstract: Human reliability analysis (HRA) methods are reviewed. The theoretical basis of human reliability analysis, human error mechanism, the key elements of HRA methods as well as the existing HRA methods, are respectively introduced and assessed. Their shortcomings, the current research hotspot and difficult problems are identified. Finally, it takes a close look at the trends of human reliability analysis methods.