非参数化方法在DNB传递分析中的应用

Non-parametric Method Used in DNB Propagation Analysis

  • 摘要: 采用蒙特卡罗方法进行偏离泡核沸腾(DNB)传递分析中一个最基本的工作是确定燃料棒内压的概率分布。通常假设燃料棒的内压服从正态分布即传统的参数化方法。但燃料棒的内压不总是满足正态分布或与正态分布相差较远。为克服这一不足,本工作采用一种新的方法即非参数化的方法计算燃料棒内压的概率分布。通过对压水堆核电厂燃料棒内压数据的非参数化处理,得到燃料棒内压的概率分布并进行DNB传递分析。由计算结果得出:在DNB传递分析中,相较于参数化方法,采用非参数化方法所得的棒内压概率分布具有普遍适用性及大样本下的良好精度,分析结果更为保守、安全。

     

    Abstract: Deciding the internal pressure probability distribution of the fuel rod is a fundamental work in the DNB propagation analysis using Monte Carlo method. The traditional parametric method is used to assume that the internal pressure probability of all rods can be characterized by a normal distribution. But this is not always the case, sometimes there is far more differences between normal distribution and the real one. However, a new method, the non-parametric method was used in the treatment of the rod internal pressure data because of its applicability anywhere and good precision in the case of large samples, and the results show that it is more conservative to use non-parametric method than parametric method in DNB propagation analysis.

     

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