Abstract:
The uncertainty of nuclear data is being paid to more and more attention because it is one of the most important uncertainty sources in lattice calculation. The expressions of sensitivity and uncertainty of
keff with respect to the cross sections were deduced based on the classical perturbation theory. A covariance library was made based on ENDF/B-Ⅶ.1, and the individual covariance matrices of cross section were combined according to the cross section model for lattice calculation in this work. A code COLEUS (calculation tool for evaluating uncertainty and sensitivity) was developed for the sensitivity and uncertainty analysis, and a traditional PWR fuel pin cell problem was calculated and analyzed. Numerical results indicate that
keff of lattice calculation is the most sensitive to the perturbation of the average number of neutrons released per fission of
235U, while the capture cross section of
238U has the biggest contribution to the final uncertainty. The measuring accuracy of present nuclear data will bring an uncertainty about 0.4%-0.5% for
keff.