大破口失水事故重要模型不确定性评价及应用

Uncertainty Evaluation and Application on Important Models during LBLOCA

  • 摘要: 在对大破口失水事故进程和物理现象进行深入剖析的基础上,确定了事故中对包壳峰值温度有重要影响的现象及对应的RELAP5/MOD3.3流动传热模型:临界热流密度模型、膜态沸腾传热模型和临界流模型。通过文献调研获得了对应流动传热模型的实验数据。将模型计算值和实验数据进行对比,对这3个模型的不确定性进行评价,并应用正交序列法得到模型不确定范围和概率分布。最后将概率评价结果应用于LOFT LP-02-6大破口失水事故的不确定性分析中,分析结果表明,对RELAP5流动传热模型的概率评价合理。

     

    Abstract: Based on the analysis of the process and the phenomena during a large break loss of coolant accident (LBLOCA), three models utilized in RELAP5/MOD3.3 (CHF model, film boiling heat transfer model and critical flow model) were identified to have a great impact on the peak cladding temperature. Through the literature review, the corresponding experiment data of these three models were obtained. Meanwhile, based on the comparison between the experiment data and the calculation results of the models, the uncertainty ranges and probability distributions of these three models were obtained by applying the orthogonal series estimation method. The uncertainty analysis of LOFT LP-02-6 LBLOCA experiment by applying probability assessment results shows that the uncertainty ranges of the RELAP5 heat transfer models are reasonable.

     

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