核电主设备接管分析法设计一次应力可靠性分析

Reliability Analysis for Design by Analysis of Primary Stress in Nuclear Power Equipment Nozzle

  • 摘要: 分析法设计是核电主设备设计的主要方法之一。该方法将结构设计或评定中各输入参量进行偏于安全的假设,以安全不安全定性反映主设备设计的结构完整性状态。本研究在确定性分析法设计的基础上,利用可靠性分析方法,综合考虑结构设计或评定中涉及的不确定性因素(如结构几何、材料中的输入不确定性等),建立各种失效模式下的极限状态函数,基于概率统计理论求得结构在给定条件下的失效概率或可靠度,并进行相关参数的敏感性分析。以失效概率的形式定量反映部件的结构完整性状态,研究方法对可靠性理论在ASME核电规范与标准的分析法设计中的应用具有积极意义。

     

    Abstract: Design by analysis is one of the main methods for nuclear power equipment design. Key components are typically designed and operated using this safety-factor based on deterministic approach. The structure integrity is judged sufficiently providing safety margins inherent in the basic design. In practical engineering, nondeterministic variables exist, such as geometry, material properties, occurrence of beyond design basic loads etc. The reliability analysis was introduced into the design by analysis in this study, by considering the uncertainty of input variables involved in the evaluation. First, the limit state function of failure mode was established. Second, based on the theory of probability and statistics-based approach, the probability of failure or the reliability of nuclear key component was calculated. Finally, the sensitivity analysis was performed. The structural integrity of components is assessed by failure probability that has a positive meaning to the application of reliability theory in the design by analysis of ASME codes and standards.

     

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