基于随机游走方法模拟计算脏弹袭击后的放射性剂量分布

Dose Distribution of Radioactive Plume from Dirty Bomb Attack Simulated by Random Walk Method

  • 摘要: 为研究脏弹爆炸在下风方向造成的放射性辐射危害,基于随机游走方法建立了脏弹恐怖袭击后放射性烟团在大气中扩散的计算模型。结合烟云源项模型和剂量模型,计算研究了小风条件下137Cs脏弹爆炸时,不同大气稳定度扩散等级时放射性烟团对下风方向公众的辐照剂量。结果表明,在其他条件相同的情况下,稳定度扩散等级对下风方向的辐照水平和分布有明显影响。大气越不稳定,放射性烟云横向扩散范围越广,同时剂量随下风方向距离降低得越快,超公众辐照限值的放射性污染面积也越小。稳定度扩散等级为F时,超公众剂量限值的污染区域面积和下风方向1 km处的辐射剂量分别是等级为A时的4倍和10倍。

     

    Abstract: To study the radiation damage caused by radioactive plume in leeward direction after dirty bomb (radiological dispersal device) terrorism attacks, the simulation model of atmospheric dispersion was set up based on the random walk method. With specific source term and dose simulation models, the radiation doses of leeward regions caused by a 137Cs dirty bomb were simulated in atmospheric stability classes of A-F in low wind conditions. The results show that the leeward radiation doses are influenced significantly by atmospheric stability. The more unstable the atmosphere is, the further the transverse diffusion of radioactive plume is, meanwhile, the faster the dose decreases with the leeward distance and the smaller the polluted areas for dose exceeding public limit. When the atmospheric stability class is F, the area of contaminated regions where the dose exceeds public dose limit and the radiation dose in 1 km leeward direction are 4 times and 10 times higher than those of class A respectively.

     

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