基于自适应BP神经网络的压水堆堆芯换料关键参数的预测方法

Prediction of Key Core Parameter of PWR by Adaptive BP Neural Network

  • 摘要: 运用BP(back propagation)人工神经网络的方法,通过实现堆芯装载方式建模、自适应选择网络节点数、调整学习率和随机梯度下降搜索,快速准确地预测了秦山二期压水堆堆芯燃料换料3个关键参数:有效增殖因数、组件功率峰因子、棒功率峰因子,解决了传统方法需消耗大量算力、时间才能计算的问题。数值实验发现,对于超出训练数据以外的情形,BP神经网络方法的最大相对误差仍不超过2%,表明网络模型的可靠性和鲁棒性能较好,且可毫无困难地推广至其他参数预测,对人工智能算法在核工业领域的进一步应用做出了重要的探索。

     

    Abstract: The adaptive BP (back propagation) neural network method was used, by realizing mathematical modeling of core loading mode, adaptive selection of network nodes, learning rate and random gradient descent search, and three key parameters including effective multiplication factor, component power peak factor and rod power peak factor of core fuel refueling for Qinshan Ⅱ PWR were quickly and accurately predicted. Compared with the traditional method, the BP neural network algorithm saves a lot of calculation consume. Numerical experiment results show that maximum relative error is less than 2% for conditions beyond the training data, so the algorithm has good robustness and high reliability, which makes an important exploration for the further application of artificial intelligence algorithm in nuclear industry.

     

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