核电厂SPAR-H方法中的绩效形成因子优化研究

Optimization of Performance Shaping Factor in SPAR-H Method for Nuclear Power Plant

  • 摘要: 核电厂概率安全评价(PSA)结果作为核电厂执照文件的组成部分,对核电厂的执照申请和安全运行有着重要作用。核电厂人员可靠性分析(HRA)作为核电厂PSA中的关键要素,对PSA的分析结果和风险见解有着重要影响。核电厂HRA方法众多,标准化电厂风险分析HRA(SPAR-H)方法由于使用便利等特点,在我国得到了极其广泛的应用。但同时SPAR-H方法可能导致结果的阶跃性问题、所考虑的绩效形成因子(PSF)的合理性、PSF不同级别的选取标准模糊等问题也越来越受到关注。本文结合多年的工程实践经验、理论研究和对核电厂众多操纵员的调查走访,对SPAR-H方法的PSF类别、各PSF的分级颗粒度和评价准则、各PSF级别的修正因子等内容进行了优化尝试,并结合实证数据进行了方法的效度验证。分析结果表明,PSF优化后的SPAR-H方法在人员可靠性定量分析中表现出较好的效度,且具备工程上的可实施性。本文方法可为核电厂人员可靠性分析领域的方法开发和工程应用提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Probabilistic safety assessment (PSA), as a component of the nuclear power plant (NPP) license document, plays an important role in the license application and safety operation of nuclear power plants. Human reliability analysis (HRA), as a key element of PSA in NPP, has an important impact on PSA analysis results and risk insights. There are many HRA methods, among which the standardized plant analysis risk HRA (SPAR-H) method has been widely used in China because of its ease to use. However, the step change of analysis result, the rationality of performance shaping factors (PSFs) considered, and the ambiguity of the selection criteria of different levels of a PSF are also received more and more concern. Based on engineering practice experience, theoretical research findings, and interviews with a group NPP operators, this paper attempted to optimize the SPAR-H method in terms of PSF categories, grading granularity and evaluation criteria of each PSF, and multiple factor of each PSF level. The PSFs in the optimized SPAR-H method included 9 PSFs: time pressure, stress, complexity, experience/training, procedures, human-machine interface, fatigue, working conditions and team cooperation. At the same time, the grades, definitions and evaluation criteria of each PSF were refined and clarified to improve the implementability. In addition, the multiple factors of each PSF level were further optimized to overcome the step change problem of the current SPAR-H method, and examine the validity of the improved method with data from an international HRA empirical study. The results show that the new SPAR-H method after PSF being improved has certain reliability and engineering feasibility in perform the quantitative analysis of human reliability. The optimized SPAR-H method presented in this paper can provide reference for the development of HRA method and the engineering application of the new method.

     

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