基于γ监测的阵列式核材料贮存keff快速预测方法

keff Rapid Prediction Method of Array Nuclear Material Storage Based on γ Monitoring

  • 摘要: 库房内核材料会以阵列的方式进行贮存,该贮存系统的keff直接关系到库房核临界安全的状态。在深次临界条件下,传统的中子测量方法无法准确地给出系统的keff,在库房内也无法使用有源的相关方法,且现有的监测手段无法在核材料贮存、运输等几何位置、数量变化情况下及时地给出系统的keff用来监测其核临界安全状况。为了解决该问题,建立了与贮存模型相对应的γ探测器阵列来开展数据监测,并将监测数据作为输入,运用BP神经网络实现对贮存系统keff的快速预测。利用蒙特卡罗计算软件MCNP对贮存模型进行建模并计算keff,以此来评估预测结果,同时构建并优化了3层BP神经网络。经过计算和实验验证,优化后的预测方法能够较为快速地给出系统的keff,且预测值与MCNP计算值相比误差较小,有较好的应用前景,为库房内临界安全监测提供了新思路。

     

    Abstract: The paper focuses on the research of rapidly predicting the keff value of array nuclear material storage to ensure nuclear criticality safety. In nuclear material warehouses, the storage of nuclear materials in an array form makes the keff value directly related to the safety status. However, existing criticality calculation software fails to provide timely keff values when there are changes in geometric positions and quantities during storage and transportation. To address this issue, a γ-detector array corresponding to the storage model was established for data monitoring. A uranium solution storage model was designed, with 9 iron boxes arranged in a 3×3 matrix on a 30 cm thick concrete layer. The dimensions of the solution barrels and iron boxes were determined, and the keff value of the model was calculated. The BP neural network, which consisted of an input layer, a hidden layer, and an output layer, was utilized. Neurons in the network received input signals and generate outputs through weight and activation function operations. The backpropagation algorithm was used for training, and the gradient descent method was employed to optimize the weights. A loss function was defined to evaluate the performance of the network, and an empirical formula was used to determine the number of nodes in the hidden layer. A dataset was created by generating 950 models with different storage box arrangements and calculating their keff values and γ fluxes. After removing duplicate data, 916 models were obtained. These were divided into a learning set and a test set in a 7∶3 ratio, and the data were standardized using the Z-score method. A BP neural network with 9 inputs and 1 output was designed, with 5 nodes in the hidden layer. The activation function was set as Relu, the optimization function as Adam, the loss function as MSE, the learning rate as 0.01, and the maximum number of training epochs as 500. The training results were analyzed, and the mean square error curve was plotted to evaluate the effectiveness of the model. A measurement bench was built, consisting of a computer, instruments, and detectors. The consistency between the detectors and the storage boxes was verified. Different storage box arrangement schemes were designed, and the detection data were obtained by averaging the measurements over 30 minutes. The prediction values of the neural network were compared with the keff values calculated by MCNP, and the errors were calculated to evaluate the performance of the model. In conclusion, based on the array storage model dataset, through data processing and neural network training, a high-precision BP neural network model is constructed, which can predict the keff value in real time. In the experiment, it can effectively evaluate the nuclear criticality safety and is in good agreement with the theoretical values, providing a new approach for the safety monitoring of nuclear material warehouses.

     

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