空间核反应堆电源风险安全目标研究

Research on Risk Safety Goal of Space Nuclear Reactor Power Source

  • 摘要: 本文针对空间核反应堆电源(简称空间堆)在各阶段面临的安全风险特点,参考传统地面核设施安全目标的制定方法,研究适用于空间堆的安全目标体系。通过分析空间堆发射阶段的安全风险以及核电厂安全目标的制定过程及内涵,结合航天行业安全风险定量化数据,参考国际空间堆安全的相关法规标准,系统性地提出了“定性-定量-概率”3个层次的空间堆风险安全目标体系:定性安全目标要求保护地球生态圈免受明显辐照风险、对外层空间轨道无显著污染附加风险、对航天器无额外事故风险;定量安全目标限定设计基准事故对个人的最大有效剂量≤5 mSv,且空间堆故障导致航天器灾难性故障的风险需与其他电源相当;概率安全目标包括发射事故下意外临界条件概率小于10−3、运行阶段因堆故障致航天器灾难性故障概率小于10−2、运行阶段航天器解体概率小于10−5。本文提出空间堆3个层次的风险安全目标体系,可系统性指导空间堆安全设计与风险评估,为空间堆安全标准制定提供理论支撑。

     

    Abstract: This paper addresses the unique safety risk characteristics of space nuclear reactor power sources throughout their lifecycle, aiming to establish a comprehensive safety goal framework tailored for space reactors. The study draws upon safety objective formulation methodologies from terrestrial nuclear facilities while accounting for the distinct operational phases and hazards of space reactors. A systematic three-tiered safety goal architecture—encompassing qualitative, quantitative, and probabilistic objectives—was developed through rigorous analysis of space rectors launch phase risks, research of safety target definitions and rationales from conventional nuclear power plants, integration of quantitative aerospace industry safety data, and review of international space nuclear safety regulations and standards. The qualitative objectives mandate the protection of Earth’s biosphere from significant radiological risk, prevention of substantial contamination hazards to outer space orbits, and avoidance of introducing unacceptable additional accident risks to the spacecraft. Quantitative safety requirements stipulate that the maximum effective dose to any individual from a design basis accident must not exceed 5 mSv, and the risk of reactor failure leading to spacecraft catastrophic failure must remain comparable to risks posed by alternative spacecraft power sources. Probabilistic safety goals establish specific thresholds: the probability of inadvertent criticality during a launch accident must be less than 10−3, the probability of reactor failure causing spacecraft catastrophic failure during operation must be below 10−2, and the probability of spacecraft disintegration during the operational phase must be less than 10−5. The resulting integrated framework provides systematic guidance for the safety design and risk assessment of space reactors. This structured three-tiered safety goal system provides a systematic foundation for guiding the safety design and risk assessment of space reactors, offering essential theoretical support for developing future safety standards and regulatory guidelines specific to space nuclear power applications, thereby enhancing safety assurance for both terrestrial populations and space environments increasing space activities.

     

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